Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake McHugh vs Jason Young

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Young
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Jason Young

“Shotgun”

9-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record9-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake McHughNow 1543
If they win+24→ 1567
If they lose-24→ 1519
Jason YoungNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake McHughJason Young
14501500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (25%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake McHugh60%
Jason Young 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake McHugh a 60% favorite over Jason Young in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1540), separated by just 3 points.

Jake McHugh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jason Young 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.