Jake O'Brien vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record28-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach84"
205 lbsWeight248 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Jake O'Brien carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1717
If they lose-7→ 1685
If they win+5→ 1921
If they lose-19→ 1897
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1773 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake O'BrienJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones78%
Jake O'Brien 22%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 78% favorite over Jake O'Brien in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1916 to 1692, a 224-point edge.
Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jake O'Brien finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.