Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake O'Brien vs Josh Schockman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Schockman
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Josh Schockman

“The Warhammer”

6-3-0Light HeavyweightSF

1448Developing

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record6-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamDirty South Fight Team

What's at stake

Jake O'Brien is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Josh Schockman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jake O'BrienNow 1692
If they win+6→ 1698
If they lose-26→ 1666
Josh SchockmanNow 1448
If they win+39→ 1487
If they lose-9→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.32
Sig. strikes / min
0.87
32%
Strike accuracy
33%
1.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.87
69%
Strike defense
58%
6.44
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
23%
0.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake O'BrienJosh Schockman
15001600170020082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
3 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (33%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake O'Brien83%
Josh Schockman 17%Elo baseline: 80%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake O'Brien a 83% favorite over Josh Schockman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).

Jake O'Brien holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1448, a 244-point edge.

Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Schockman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jake O'Brien finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josh Schockman 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.