Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake O'Brien vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake O'BrienNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.32
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
32%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
69%
Strike defense
TBD
6.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
57%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.21
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jake O'BrienWill Fleury
165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (24%)
5 (33%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Fleury70%
Jake O'Brien 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Fleury a 70% favorite over Jake O'Brien in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake O'Brien's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1692), separated by just 0 points.

Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jake O'Brien finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.