Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Rosholt vs Kendall Grove

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record24-19-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team TakedownTeamStraight Rootless Fight Team

What's at stake

Kendall Grove is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jake Rosholt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jake RosholtNow 1560
If they win+17→ 1577
If they lose-15→ 1545
Kendall GroveNow 1589
If they win+11→ 1600
If they lose-13→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
49%
Strike defense
55%
6.51
Takedown avg.
0.61
69%
Takedown accuracy
63%
0%
Takedown defense
57%
1.78
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Jake RosholtKendall Grove
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (33%)
6 (50%)
Submission
10 (42%)
1 (8%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Rosholt52%
Kendall Grove 48%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Rosholt a 52% favorite over Kendall Grove in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kendall Grove's way (46%).

Kendall Grove holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1560, a 29-point edge.

Jake Rosholt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jake Rosholt finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Kendall Grove 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.