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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Shields vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

33-11-1Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake ShieldsNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
32%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
56%
Strike defense
59%
1.19
Takedown avg.
4
12%
Takedown accuracy
40%
36%
Takedown defense
100%
0.12
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake ShieldsSaygid Izagakhmaev
17502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
12 (36%)
Submission
13 (59%)
18 (55%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Saygid Izagakhmaev52%
Jake Shields 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 52% favorite over Jake Shields in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Shields's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1734), separated by just 0 points.

Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jake Shields finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.