Jake Wilkins vs Ulysse Ndong
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
Reversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1608 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFight Move Academy· 1618 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake WilkinsUlysse Ndong
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ulysse Ndong52%
Jake Wilkins 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ulysse Ndong a 52% favorite over Jake Wilkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Wilkins's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1524), separated by just 0 points.
Jake Wilkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ulysse Ndong 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.