Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Woodley vs Jared Gooden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jared Gooden
us

Jared Gooden

“Nite Train”

23-12-0WelterweightPFL

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record23-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
-Reach77"
186 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamX3 Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake WoodleyNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Jared GoodenNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1481 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.74
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Jake WoodleyJared Gooden
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
1 (13%)
Submission
7 (30%)
4 (50%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jake Woodley and Jared Gooden within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gooden 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.