AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Woodley vs Patrick Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Patrick Walsh
us

Patrick Walsh

“The Beast of the East”

10-3-0HeavyweightCES

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight258 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1650 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake WoodleyNow 1639
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
Patrick WalshNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
Not available
Strike accuracy
19%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3
Not available
Takedown accuracy
55%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.50

Trajectory

Jake WoodleyPatrick Walsh
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (50%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Woodley54%
Patrick Walsh 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 54% favorite over Patrick Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Walsh 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.