Jakub Kaszuba vs Manoel Sousa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-0-0Record15-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
If they win+16→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1742
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jakub KaszubaManoel Sousa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa53%
Jakub Kaszuba 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 53% favorite over Jakub Kaszuba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jakub Kaszuba's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1758), separated by just 3 points.
Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jakub Kaszuba finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 80%.
Jakub Kaszuba carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.