Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Kaszuba vs Manoel Sousa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-0-0Record15-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie Barra JacksonvilleTeamAcademia Octogono

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jakub KaszubaNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735
Manoel SousaNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.65

Trajectory

Jakub KaszubaManoel Sousa
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (20%)
8 (50%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jakub Kaszuba and Manoel Sousa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1751 vs 1756), separated by just 5 points.

Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jakub Kaszuba finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 80%.

Jakub Kaszuba carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.