Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Kaszuba vs Mehdi Baydulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-0-0Record20-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach71.7"
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Gracie Barra JacksonvilleTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jakub KaszubaNow 1753
If they win+16→ 1769
If they lose-16→ 1737
Mehdi BaydulaevNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Jakub KaszubaMehdi Baydulaev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
2 (13%)
Submission
11 (55%)
8 (50%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jakub Kaszuba56%
Mehdi Baydulaev 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Kaszuba a 56% favorite over Mehdi Baydulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1753 vs 1751), separated by just 2 points.

Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mehdi Baydulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jakub Kaszuba finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Baydulaev 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.