Jakub Kaszuba vs Rustam Kerimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-0-0Record22-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'5"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Gracie Barra JacksonvilleTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1687 avg Elo · 26 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
If they win+16→ 1773
If they lose-16→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jakub KaszubaRustam Kerimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jakub Kaszuba53%
Rustam Kerimov 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Kaszuba a 53% favorite over Rustam Kerimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Kerimov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1757), separated by just 5 points.
Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jakub Kaszuba finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.