Jakub Tichota vs Naohiro Matsumoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record8-7-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Reinders MMA· 1603 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKenshinkai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jakub TichotaNaohiro Matsumoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jakub Tichota70%
Naohiro Matsumoto 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Tichota a 70% favorite over Naohiro Matsumoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.
Naohiro Matsumoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jakub Tichota finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Naohiro Matsumoto 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.