Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Wikłacz vs Muin Gafurov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-2 Record 20-7-0
Bantamweight Division Bantamweight
5'8" Height 5'7"
72" Reach 68"
135 lbs Weight 136 lbs
Arrachion Olsztyn Team Taj-Fighter

What's at stake

Jakub Wikłacz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Muin Gafurov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jakub WikłaczNow 1710
If they win+14→ 1724
If they lose-18→ 1692
Muin GafurovNow 1661
If they win+18→ 1679
If they lose-14→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
2.21
46%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
42%
Takedown defense
70%
2.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jakub Wikłacz Muin Gafurov
1650 1700 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
11 (61%)
Submission
7 (35%)
7 (39%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Jakub Wikłacz64%
Muin Gafurov36%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Wikłacz a 64% favorite over Muin Gafurov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Jakub Wikłacz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1661, a 49-point edge.

Jakub Wikłacz enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jakub Wikłacz finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.

Jakub Wikłacz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.