Jakub Wikłacz vs Muin Gafurov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-2Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Jakub Wikłacz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Muin Gafurov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1724
If they lose-18→ 1692
If they win+18→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jakub WikłaczMuin Gafurov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jakub Wikłacz and Muin Gafurov within a point of even.
Jakub Wikłacz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1668, a 42-point edge.
Jakub Wikłacz enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jakub Wikłacz finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.
Jakub Wikłacz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.