Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Wikłacz vs Raphael Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-2Record28-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
72"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arrachion OlsztynTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jakub WikłaczNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Raphael AssunçãoNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
46%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
1.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
42%
Takedown defense
78%
2.50
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Jakub WikłaczRaphael Assunção
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
11 (61%)
Submission
10 (36%)
7 (39%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jakub Wikłacz72%
Raphael Assunção 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Wikłacz a 72% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.

Jakub Wikłacz enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jakub Wikłacz finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.

Jakub Wikłacz carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.