Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Wikłacz vs Muin Gafurov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-2Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Arrachion OlsztynTeamTaj-Fighter

What's at stake

Jakub Wikłacz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Muin Gafurov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jakub WikłaczNow 1709
If they win+14→ 1723
If they lose-18→ 1691
Muin GafurovNow 1668
If they win+18→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
46%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
42%
Takedown defense
70%
2.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jakub WikłaczMuin Gafurov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
11 (61%)
Submission
7 (35%)
7 (39%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Jakub Wikłacz60%
Muin Gafurov 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Wikłacz a 60% favorite over Muin Gafurov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jakub Wikłacz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1668, a 41-point edge.

Jakub Wikłacz enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jakub Wikłacz finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.

Jakub Wikłacz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.