Jakub Wikłacz vs Rinya Nakamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-2Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Arrachion OlsztynTeamFreelance· 1605 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jakub WikłaczRinya Nakamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jakub Wikłacz60%
Rinya Nakamura 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Wikłacz a 60% favorite over Rinya Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rinya Nakamura's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1711), separated by just 2 points.
Jakub Wikłacz enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jakub Wikłacz finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Rinya Nakamura 70%.
Jakub Wikłacz and Rinya Nakamura share 1 common opponent: Muin Gafurov.
Jakub Wikłacz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.