Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Combat SportsTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Jalin Turner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kauê Fernandes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1713
If they lose-14→ 1689
If they win+18→ 1677
If they lose-14→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jalin TurnerKauê Fernandes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jalin Turner72%
Kauê Fernandes 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 72% favorite over Kauê Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jalin Turner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1659, a 44-point edge.
Jalin Turner enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jalin Turner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kauê Fernandes 73%.
Jalin Turner carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.