Jalin Turner vs Matt Frevola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'9"
77"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Combat SportsTeamGracie Tampa South
What's at stake
Jalin Turner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Frevola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1698
If they lose-14→ 1674
If they win+18→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jalin TurnerMatt Frevola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jalin Turner72%
Matt Frevola 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 72% favorite over Matt Frevola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jalin Turner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1637, a 51-point edge.
Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jalin Turner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Frevola 64%.
Jalin Turner carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.