Jalin Turner vs Matt Frevola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'9"
77"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Jalin Turner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Frevola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1713
If they lose-14→ 1689
If they win+19→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jalin TurnerMatt Frevola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jalin Turner72%
Matt Frevola 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 72% favorite over Matt Frevola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jalin Turner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1637, a 66-point edge.
Jalin Turner enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jalin Turner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Frevola 64%.
Jalin Turner carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.