Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamahal Hill vs Klidson Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamahal Hill
us

Jamahal Hill

“Sweet Dreams”

12-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
Black Lion Jiu-JitsuTeamBrazilian TKO

What's at stake

Jamahal Hill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Klidson Abreu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamahal HillNow 1704
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-19→ 1685
Klidson AbreuNow 1646
If they win+19→ 1665
If they lose-13→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
53%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
45%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.64
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
73%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jamahal HillKlidson Abreu
165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (63%)
5 (42%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamahal Hill70%
Klidson Abreu 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamahal Hill a 70% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jamahal Hill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1646, a 58-point edge.

Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jamahal Hill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Klidson Abreu 88%.

Jamahal Hill carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.