Jamahal Hill vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record20-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black Lion Jiu-JitsuTeamGintas Combat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamahal HillModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas63%
Jamahal Hill 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 63% favorite over Jamahal Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.
Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jamahal Hill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 70%.
Jamahal Hill and Modestas Bukauskas share 1 common opponent: Paul Craig.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.