Jamahal Hill vs Ovince St. Preux
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record27-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach80″
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black Lion Jiu-JitsuTeamKnoxville MMA
What's at stake
Jamahal Hill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ovince St. Preux carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1719
If they lose-17→ 1687
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-11→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamahal HillOvince St. Preux
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamahal Hill72%
Ovince St. Preux 28%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamahal Hill a 72% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jamahal Hill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1678, a 26-point edge.
Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jamahal Hill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.