Jamall Emmers vs Pat Sabatini
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Pat Sabatini70%
Jamall Emmers 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Pat Sabatini a 70% favorite over Jamall Emmers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Pat Sabatini holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1707, a 57-point edge.
Jamall Emmers enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jamall Emmers finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Pat Sabatini 64%.
Jamall Emmers carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1740 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Pat Sabatini is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jamall Emmers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-10→ 1697
If they win+10→ 1774
If they lose-14→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jamall EmmersPat Sabatini