Combat Edge Intelligence

Jameel Massouh vs Manuel Exposito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-9-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
141 lbsWeight150 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeamEntram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jameel MassouhNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Manuel ExpositoNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.91
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
15%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.67
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jameel MassouhManuel Exposito
16501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
13 (50%)
Submission
7 (50%)
6 (23%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Exposito70%
Jameel Massouh 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Exposito a 70% favorite over Jameel Massouh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jameel Massouh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Jameel Massouh finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Exposito 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.