Combat Edge Intelligence

James Gallagher vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record11-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
64"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James GallagherNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Josh CulibaoNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
66%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

James GallagherJosh Culibao
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
9 (75%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (25%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting James Gallagher and Josh Culibao within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

James Gallagher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Gallagher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Josh Culibao carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.