James Gallagher vs Manuel Exposito
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
64"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamEntram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James GallagherManuel Exposito
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Exposito75%
James Gallagher 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Exposito a 75% favorite over James Gallagher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Gallagher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.
James Gallagher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Gallagher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Exposito 79%.
Manuel Exposito carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.