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Combat Edge Intelligence

James Head vs Jason High

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason High
us

Jason High

“The Kansas City Bandit”

23-8-0LightweightFAC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
R-1 MMATeamAmerican Top Team HD

What's at stake

Jason High is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — James Head carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James HeadNow 1603
If they win+20→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1591
Jason HighNow 1694
If they win+9→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
1.01
49%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
50%
Strike defense
48%
0.41
Takedown avg.
2.89
100%
Takedown accuracy
80%
67%
Takedown defense
38%
0.82
Submission avg.
3.26

Trajectory

James HeadJason High
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (30%)
3 (33%)
Submission
8 (35%)
2 (22%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason High60%
James Head 40%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason High a 60% favorite over James Head in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jason High holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1603, a 91-point edge.

James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason High enters on a 2-fight win streak.

James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jason High 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.