James Head vs Jason High
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
R-1 MMATeamAmerican Top Team HD
What's at stake
Jason High is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — James Head carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1591
If they win+9→ 1700
If they lose-15→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James HeadJason High
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason High61%
James Head 39%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason High a 61% favorite over James Head in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jason High holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1603, a 88-point edge.
James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason High enters on a 2-fight win streak.
James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jason High 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.