Combat Edge Intelligence

James Head vs Magnus Conrado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight157 lbs
R-1 MMATeamHikari MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James HeadNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Magnus ConradoNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.41
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.82
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James HeadMagnus Conrado
1600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
3 (33%)
Submission
14 (70%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Magnus Conrado52%
James Head 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Conrado a 52% favorite over James Head in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magnus Conrado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Conrado 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.