James Head vs Mike Pyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
R-1 MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — James Head carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1590
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James HeadMike Pyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Head57%
Mike Pyle 43%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes James Head a 57% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Pyle's way (40%).
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1603, a 71-point edge.
James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.