Combat Edge Intelligence

James Head vs Nick Ring

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Ring
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Nick Ring

“The Promise”

14-4-0MiddleweightHKF

1655Good

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Nick Ring is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — James Head carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James HeadNow 1603
If they win+18→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1589
Nick RingNow 1655
If they win+14→ 1669
If they lose-18→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
50%
Strike defense
63%
0.41
Takedown avg.
1.36
100%
Takedown accuracy
36%
67%
Takedown defense
52%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

James HeadNick Ring
1600165017002012201320142015

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
3 (33%)
Submission
6 (43%)
2 (22%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting James Head and Nick Ring within a point of even.

Nick Ring holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1603, a 52-point edge.

James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Nick Ring 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.