James Head vs Papy Abedi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
R-1 MMATeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
James Head is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Papy Abedi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1617
If they lose-18→ 1585
If they win+18→ 1571
If they lose-14→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James HeadPapy Abedi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Head68%
Papy Abedi 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes James Head a 68% favorite over Papy Abedi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
James Head holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1553, a 50-point edge.
James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Papy Abedi 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.