Combat Edge Intelligence

James Head vs Papy Abedi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Papy Abedi
se

Papy Abedi

“Makambo”

10-4-0MiddleweightSC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
R-1 MMATeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

James Head is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Papy Abedi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James HeadNow 1603
If they win+14→ 1617
If they lose-18→ 1585
Papy AbediNow 1566
If they win+18→ 1584
If they lose-14→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
49%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.15
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.41
Takedown avg.
3.47
100%
Takedown accuracy
57%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.82
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

James HeadPapy Abedi
155016001650201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (22%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

James Head66%
Papy Abedi 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes James Head a 66% favorite over Papy Abedi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

James Head holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1566, a 37-point edge.

James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Papy Abedi 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.