James Head vs Patrick Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
R-1 MMATeamGround Control Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1466 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James HeadPatrick Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Head60%
Patrick Rivera 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Head a 60% favorite over Patrick Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Rivera 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.