Combat Edge Intelligence

James Head vs Rayan Atmani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
R-1 MMATeamCage Winner DZ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James HeadNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Rayan AtmaniNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.41
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.82
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James HeadRayan Atmani
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Atmani66%
James Head 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 66% favorite over James Head in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rayan Atmani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

James Head finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.