James Irvin vs Luiz Cane
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record17-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Reign MMATeamDemian Maia Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Luiz Cane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — James Irvin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1508
If they lose-9→ 1476
If they win+9→ 1647
If they lose-23→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James IrvinLuiz Cane
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luiz Cane78%
James Irvin 22%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Luiz Cane a 78% favorite over James Irvin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Luiz Cane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1485, a 153-point edge.
James Irvin finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Luiz Cane 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.