James Irvin vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Reign MMATeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1502
If they lose-15→ 1470
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James IrvinMarcio Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral75%
James Irvin 25%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 75% favorite over James Irvin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1499), separated by just 14 points.
James Irvin finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.