Combat Edge Intelligence

James Irvin vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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James Irvin
us

James Irvin

“The Sandman”

17-10-0MiddleweightGC

1485Average

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Reign MMATeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

James Irvin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James IrvinNow 1485
If they win+15→ 1500
If they lose-17→ 1468
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+17→ 1483
If they lose-15→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
35%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
37%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.52
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James IrvinOndřej Raška
145015002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
3 (19%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (6%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška62%
James Irvin 38%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 62% favorite over James Irvin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Irvin's way (47%).

James Irvin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1485 to 1466, a 19-point edge.

James Irvin finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.