James Irvin vs Stephan Bonnar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record15-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Reign MMATeamOne Kick's Gym
What's at stake
Stephan Bonnar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — James Irvin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1507
If they lose-10→ 1475
If they win+10→ 1623
If they lose-22→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James IrvinStephan Bonnar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephan Bonnar61%
James Irvin 39%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephan Bonnar a 61% favorite over James Irvin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Stephan Bonnar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1485, a 128-point edge.
Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Irvin finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.
James Irvin and Stephan Bonnar share 2 common opponents: Igor Pokrajac and Anderson Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.