James Krause vs Jamie Varner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record21-11-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'8"
73,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
James Krause is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jamie Varner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1697
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-8→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James KrauseJamie Varner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Krause78%
Jamie Varner 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 78% favorite over Jamie Varner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
James Krause holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1603, a 110-point edge.
Jamie Varner enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Varner 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.