James Krause vs Jorge Masvidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record35-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
73,5"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jorge Masvidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — James Krause carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702
If they win+11→ 1751
If they lose-13→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James KrauseJorge Masvidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Krause54%
Jorge Masvidal 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 54% favorite over Jorge Masvidal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Masvidal's way (46%).
Jorge Masvidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1713, a 27-point edge.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.