James Krause vs Sergio Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamBrazilian TKO
What's at stake
James Krause is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sergio Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699
If they win+19→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James KrauseSergio Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Krause78%
Sergio Moraes 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 78% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
James Krause holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1641, a 72-point edge.
Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.
James Krause and Sergio Moraes share 1 common opponent: Warlley Alves.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.