James Krause vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record24-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
James Krause is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shane Campbell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-10→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James KrauseShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Krause64%
Shane Campbell 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 64% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
James Krause holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1651, a 62-point edge.
James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
James Krause carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.