Combat Edge Intelligence

James Krause vs Valmir Lazaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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James Krause
us

James Krause

“The James Krause”

28-8-0WelterweightUFC

1713Good

Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record19-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach73,0"
170 lbsWeight154 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

James Krause is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Valmir Lazaro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James KrauseNow 1713
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-9→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
50%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
62%
Strike defense
62%
0.96
Takedown avg.
1.33
18%
Takedown accuracy
40%
60%
Takedown defense
96%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James KrauseValmir Lazaro
1600165017002019202020212022

Win method breakdown

8 (29%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
14 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (21%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

James Krause77%
Valmir Lazaro 23%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 77% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

James Krause holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1613, a 100-point edge.

James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.