James Krause vs Warlley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
73,5"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamRizzo RVT
What's at stake
James Krause is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Warlley Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
If they win+20→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James KrauseWarlley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Krause75%
Warlley Alves 25%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 75% favorite over Warlley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
James Krause holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1625, a 88-point edge.
Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Warlley Alves 71%.
James Krause and Warlley Alves share 1 common opponent: Sergio Moraes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.