James Llontop vs Joel Thomas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James LlontopJoel Thomas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Llontop63%
Joel Thomas 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 63% favorite over Joel Thomas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joel Thomas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.
Joel Thomas enters on a 6-fight win streak.
James Llontop finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Joel Thomas 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.