Combat Edge Intelligence

James Llontop vs Kafiz Sakibekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73″Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James LlontopNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Kafiz SakibekovNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James LlontopKafiz Sakibekov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (27%)
6 (43%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov73%
James Llontop 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 73% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1618), separated by just 3 points.

James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

James Llontop finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kafiz Sakibekov 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.