James Llontop vs Mats Nilsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record11-4-1
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James LlontopMats Nilsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Llontop68%
Mats Nilsson 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 68% favorite over Mats Nilsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.
Mats Nilsson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Llontop finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mats Nilsson 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.