James Llontop vs Mauricio Ruffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73″Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team FFCTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Mauricio Ruffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — James Llontop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1605
If they win+11→ 1743
If they lose-21→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James LlontopMauricio Ruffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mauricio Ruffy69%
James Llontop 31%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 69% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Mauricio Ruffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1613, a 119-point edge.
James Llontop finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.