Combat Edge Intelligence

James Llontop vs Valmir Lazaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73″Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Team FFCTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James LlontopNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
42%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
58%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
1.33
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
96%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James LlontopValmir Lazaro
160016501700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (43%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

James Llontop66%
Valmir Lazaro 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 66% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

James Llontop finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.