James Martin vs Jon Manley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lycan's Den MMATeamTeam Link
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James MartinJon Manley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Martin63%
Jon Manley 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Martin a 63% favorite over Jon Manley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.
Jon Manley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
James Martin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jon Manley 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.