James McSweeney vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-18-0Record14-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
248 lbsWeight205 lbs
McSweeney Martial ArtsTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — James McSweeney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1499
If they lose-11→ 1475
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James McSweeneyKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson67%
James McSweeney 33%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 67% favorite over James McSweeney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1486, a 23-point edge.
James McSweeney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James McSweeney finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.